Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.205508 0.231652 0.259264 0.290541 0.324926 0.361516 0.403336
2025-06-22 0.169957 0.205156 0.244429 0.291291 0.345474 0.405936 0.478279
2025-06-29 0.144098 0.184686 0.232174 0.291403 0.362828 0.445696 0.548586
2025-07-06 0.124196 0.168086 0.221678 0.291192 0.378151 0.482474 0.616128
2025-07-13 0.110264 0.156787 0.215820 0.295095 0.397497 0.523945 0.690340
2025-07-20 0.100538 0.149525 0.213875 0.303004 0.421427 0.571380 0.773309
2025-07-27 0.090347 0.140337 0.208229 0.305062 0.437173 0.608410 0.843956
2025-08-03 0.083345 0.134723 0.206644 0.311968 0.459090 0.653756 0.926560
2025-08-10 0.077601 0.130235 0.206031 0.319774 0.482134 0.701029 1.012994
2025-08-17 0.069898 0.121974 0.199191 0.318000 0.491348 0.729509 1.074684
2025-08-24 0.063585 0.115185 0.193855 0.317783 0.502344 0.760383 1.140206
2025-08-31 0.057876 0.108760 0.188473 0.316933 0.512031 0.789379 1.203644
2025-09-07 0.054265 0.105588 0.188068 0.323843 0.533835 0.836964 1.295852
2025-09-14 0.049545 0.100049 0.183443 0.323818 0.545080 0.869585 1.367661
2025-09-21 0.045263 0.094827 0.178881 0.323482 0.555626 0.901324 1.438987
2025-09-28 0.041400 0.089952 0.174476 0.323004 0.565721 0.932505 1.510215
2025-10-05 0.038696 0.086947 0.172989 0.327126 0.583076 0.974977 1.599248
2025-10-12 0.036926 0.085549 0.174159 0.335673 0.607735 1.029206 1.707313
2025-10-19 0.034353 0.082293 0.171747 0.337876 0.622030 1.067754 1.792521
2025-10-26 0.032737 0.080808 0.172415 0.345376 0.645230 1.120737 1.901106
2025-11-02 0.031365 0.079689 0.173649 0.353865 0.670303 1.177286 2.016549
2025-11-09 0.028799 0.075743 0.169238 0.351926 0.677547 1.205549 2.088478
2025-11-16 0.026657 0.072491 0.165901 0.351687 0.687562 1.238389 2.168264